You are here: Benchmark Home » economics

Tag: economics

Is More Housing Inventory On the Way?

Is More Housing Inventory On The Horizon?

Is More Housing Inventory On the Way?
There has been a lot of talk about the rising value of houses in recent years. While some have expressed concern over another 2008 style housing bubble forming, we have dispelled this notion. While economics is a bit more complicated, most moves are the direct result of what you may have learned in school: supply and demand.

The Buyers are Vying

While no-one doubts that the current economy is sluggish (with varying opinions as to why), the demand for single family homes has continually increased. To corroborate that this is not just a timely fad, surveys show that 80%+  still considers home ownership an essential part of the American Dream. (something that we have talked about before). A recent Gallup survey indicates that real estate is considered to be the best long-term investment.

The Owners are Holding

For several years, homeowners may not have been able to sell. Reasons were numerous, including issues such as family finances and lack of home equity. (which isn’t surprising, in the wake of a housing bubble collapse) As a result of this “holding”, the supply of homes is low, as is to be expected. With the steady increase in home values, however, there is reason to believe that incrased motivation to sell will possibly increase the supply. Do families want to sell?

Short of asking, we can look at how long homes have been held, on average, over time.

Forbes


As the economy continues to improve, even if slowly, and more families approach possession of significant equity (20% or more), we expect to see more homes on the market. As the supply increase reduces the gap with existing demand, home price increases may begin to slow.

The Takeaway

If you are one of those who have been holding onto your current home over the last few years, now may be a good time to cash in (sell), and find the home of your dreams.

Sold on for-sale sign in front of house.

Low Housing Inventory Driving Values Up

Many people may have been watching home values steadily rise over the past year, and notice that it isn’t slowing down.

Another Housing Bubble?

Is this the aftershocks of 2008? Has sub-prime lending made a comeback as the Federal Reserve has hesitated to raise interest rates? Are new homeowners soon to be upside down on their young mortgages? No. Some have speculated it. Don’t believe it.

Purely Supply and Demand

After the bubble crash 8 years go, demand dropped first, then supply followed. In the market’s rebound correction (that we are still in the middle of), demand is driving the housing market once again.

In this case, demand growth is outpacing the housing supply. The result? More people want the housing that is available, and the competition drives up market value.

While this does make it a difficult time to buy, it may also be a terrific time to sell!

What’s A New Buyer To Do?

When prices are going up, and are projected to continue to increase, it is good to remember that interest levels are still low. This is when it makes sense to consider the true cost of waiting.

True Cost of Waiting

Consider this:

If you were to buy a house right now, with a $250,000 mortgage at 3.68%APR interest, your Payment (P&I) would be $1,147.88

If you were to buy the same house Between January and March (estimate) in 2017, your same mortgage would be $263,750 at (estimated) 4.5%APR interest. Your Payment (P&I) would be $1,336.38

By buying now, your net worth would automatically increase by $13,750 (not including the principle payments that you would be making to shrink the balance/increase your equity)

The difference in monthly payment would be $188.50. Can you afford an extra $188/month in exchange for… uh… well… …hesitation?

Over the course of 30 years, you would end up paying $67,860 more as a result. What could you do with an extra $68k?

Lock It In, And Watch It Climb

The general convention, as we have mentioned before, is to buy as early as you can. You may be better off in terms of both equity and housing costs.

Ready to get started? Give us a call!