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Why insurance is so expensive now.

by I Am Benchmark

The insurance industry has experienced significant changes over recent years, with homeowner’s and auto insurance rates increasing rapidly. The reasons behind these trends are numerous, involving a combination of economic, environmental, and market-driven factors.

Homeowner’s insurance on the rise

Homeowner’s insurance rates have risen notably, driven by several unrelated critical factors:

  • Rising Rebuilding and Replacement Costs: Between 2019 and 2022, the costs associated with rebuilding and replacing homes climbed by 55%1. This increase is a principal driver behind higher premiums as insurers recalibrate to cover these escalated costs.
  • Extreme Weather Impacts: A rise in natural disasters, including severe storms and wildfires, has heavily impacted the insurance sector2. The increase in these catastrophic events have lead to more large claims, driving up costs for insurers. Costs which, in turn, get passed on to homeowners.
  • Market Pressures and Area Exits: Worsening financial performance has caused property insurance market to experience significant strains, which are partly due to economic inflation and changes in exposures3. These pressures have resulted higher premiums and, in some cases, insurers exiting certain markets (no longer writing polices in certain regions) or reducing their policy offerings4.

Accelerating auto insurance premiums

Auto insurance has also experienced rate increases, with overlapping and unique factors to blame:

  • Rising Inflation and Repair Costs: Similar to homeowners insurance, auto insurance is impacted by inflation. The cost of repairs, labor, and parts has increased, leading insurers to raise premiums to cover these higher expenses5.
  • More Natural Disasters: Auto insurance companies were also impacted by natural disasters, which can lead to a higher volume of claims. Vehicles damaged by storms, floods, or fires contribute to the overall risk insurers need to manage5.
  • More Technological Complexity: Modern vehicles come equipped with advanced technology, making repairs more expensive. This novel complexity adds to the overall cost insurers need to cover, contributing to premium increases.

Common themes and relationships in insurance

Analyzing the causes behind the steep rise in both homeowners and auto insurance rates reveals common themes:

  • Impact of Weather Extremes: Both sectors are significantly affected by climate change, leading to an increase in natural disaster-related claims. This trend underscores the growing importance of environmental factors in insurance pricing.
  • Economic Factors: Inflation plays a crucial role in both contexts, impacting the cost of repairs, replacements, and labor. Economic conditions directly influence insurance rates, reflecting broader market dynamics.
  • Technological and Material Costs: Just as the cost of modern vehicle technology impacts auto insurance, the rising costs of building materials and construction technology affect homeowners insurance. These factors contribute to the overall increase in premiums.

Looking ahead

Understanding these trends is critical for consumers looking to navigate the changing insurance landscape effectively. While external factors like climate change and inflation may be beyond individual control, there are steps consumers can take to mitigate the impact on their insurance rates. Regularly reviewing policies, improving property resilience, and shopping various insurance providers can help secure more favorable terms.

Given the complex interplay of factors driving insurance rates up, it’s evident that both homeowners and auto insurance sectors are navigating through a period of adjustment. Awareness and proactive management of insurance policies become even more crucial to adapt to these changes.

What’s a future homeowner to do?

It’s no secret that inflation has taken a bite out of the average worker’s spending power. The general cost of living is, on average, higher than it used to be. See the chart below of the latest 5-year trend of the Consumer Price Index in the United States using data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics:

United States Consumer Price Index: Last 5 Years


source: tradingeconomics.com
 

If you currently rent your home, you may also have noticed that the average cost to rent has risen as well. Below is a chart of Rent Inflation for the past 5 years, again, using data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics:

United States Rent Inflation: Last 5 Years


source: tradingeconomics.com
 

If you are feeling the pinch of inflation and rent increases, you may be tempted to believe that the American Dream of homeownership is slipping away. Headlines have emphasized the increase in mortgage rates, and it’s no secret that demand has buttressed home prices, as indicated in the chart below using data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA):

United States FHFA House Price Index: Last 5 Years


source: tradingeconomics.com
 

What if you could do something now to help prepare for a more expensive future? What if homeownership is more than just a foundational part of the American Dream, but a tool to leverage a better financial future for family, or just for yourself?

Fight rent increases: Fire your landlord. (and become your own)

Maybe you love your landlord. Maybe you really dislike your landlord. Either way, the odds are good that your rent is higher than it was 2 years ago (Remember the rent inflation chart above?).

You know what isn’t higher? The principle and interest monthly payment for a mortgage that started 2 years ago. That’s the magic of a mortgage loan: the monthly payment doesn’t change for the life of the loan. Sure, this doesn’t account for insurance rates, taxes, or HOA fees, but every dollar you pay on the principle is equity in your home that you now own, and your lender doesn’t. You can’t say that about rent.

Your home as a financial asset

As the property you own increases in value, you own every bit of the new value, and your monthly payment (principle and interest) stays the same. Maybe you have a growing family, or you want a bigger garage, office, space to entertain, or whatever you have your heart set on. If you want to get a bigger house, you can take the equity of your existing house, and use it to help pay for your next house.

Over time, as your equity grows (and your monthly principle and interest payment stays the same), your net worth and economic resilience grows with it. In fact, if you want an even lower monthly payment, you may be eligible to refinance your remaining debt into a new mortgage, if rates are favorable. You could also use a portion of the equity in your home for other expenses. (These are referring to various loan products, and the best product for your situation may not be the same the best option for someone else.) The point is, becoming a homeowner gives you options that are not available otherwise.

Know your options

If you firmly believe that homeownership is out of reach, we encourage you to explore your options anyway. There are a variety of programs, and a variety of properties that can work together to help you start building home equity. If qualification is a problem, there are steps you can take to work towards qualification.

The point is, don’t let your own limiting beliefs hold you back. Our team of loan experts thrive on helping buyers overcome challenges to help you fire your landlord, become a homeowner, fight back against rising rents, and start building equity.

If you are ready to get started, fill out our no-obligation form, and your mortgage loan expert will contact you to help you determine your best path forward.

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After all, Benchmark brings you home.

1 CNN, 2023
2 CNBC, 2024
3 Financial Research Government, 2023
4 Money.com
5 NPR, 2024

Is waiting for lower interest rates a mistake?

by Jason Haeger

With mortgage interest rates at a level not seen for over a decade (see chart below), the question of whether to wait for interest rates to fall is creeping in. This is not unreasonable, however, it does beg the question.

Are rates actually high?

If you take a look at the chart below, you can get a pretty good idea. At first glance, you may be tempted to think, “With rates THIS high, they’re bound to come back down before too long.” You may think this looks like an economic blip; that things will calm down back to normal soon.

10 Year chart of mortgage interest rates

But a longer view may give you a different perspective.

Looking over the past ten years means we are looking back on a housing market recovering from the 2008 crash (the conditions of which do not exist today). This is a short-term view; A view that includes a lot of market manipulation intended to encourage buying through various means, including keeping interest rates low.

To see more clearly, we need to take a look at a much longer time frame.

25 year chart of interest rates

The longer view gives a sobering realization. Current rates do not appear to be high at all, in the long term. The reality is that the lower rates we’ve been experiencing are a strange occurrence, fueled by quantitative easing. The rising rates we see now are the result of a slight reversal of this practice. To better understand what this really means, take a look at the chart of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet over the last 10 years below.

10 year chart of Federal Reserve balance sheet

The Federal Reserve was buying investment securities (including mortgage debt securities) to help prop up the economy, and to bring mortgage interest rates down. The fact that the strategy worked is a clear sign that its reversal means that rates have, and will probably continue to drift back up to natural market levels. As we have discussed before, a rising interest rate means a rising cost of homeownership.

However, it’s clear that interest rates are not the only thing going up.

Inflation is a value killer

Inflation is on everyone’s minds as of writing. The Consumer Price Index shows a fairly sharp climb since the COVID-19 pandemic began, and the Federal Reserve’s increase in interest rates (not the same as mortgage interest rates) was intended to alleviate inflation. Oh, you want a chart to show inflation? See below.

5 Year chart of Consumer Price Index

The rising prices means that your money is worth less. Everything costs more than it did, which can eat into what you can afford for a monthly mortgage payment. It may seem like a good idea to wait: for your money to be worth more, for the economy to stabilize, and for mortgage interest rates to return to their senses.

As discussed previously, however, there is no solid basis for anticipating mortgage rates to come down any time soon, if at all. If this is true, though, does it even make sense to buy a home? Is real estate really the right place to put your money if the cost of living goes up?

Rising prices mean cash held in hand is losing value, while investments that rise with it are, at the very least, holding value.

“Real estate is one of the time-honored inflation hedges. It’s a tangible asset, and those tend to hold their value when inflation reigns, unlike paper assets. More specifically, as prices rise, so do property values.”

Mark Cussen, Financial writer at Investopedia

Higher cost (rates) means less competition

We have seen a cooling of demand in the housing market since rates have started rising. The sellers’ market has become more equitable, favoring buyers in many locations. There have been fewer multiple-offer scenarios, and even when there are multiple-offers, there have been fewer offers to compete with.

If you live in a competitive market, Benchmark can give you an edge. If you don’t live in a competitive market, this could be your opportunity to get your offer accepted on the best possible terms. Again, this is what we do best. Contact us get more information about how you can win with Benchmark.

Housing prices tend to climb

The financial world is full of commonly repeated advice. Invest early and invest often. The best time to plant a tree is 20 years ago; the second best time is today. Add this one to the list: Buy now to buy more.

Even if we find ourselves in a recession, as some predict, this does not guarantee falling home prices. The exception being the notorious 2008 recession due to the collapse of real estate debt-based investment schemes, the conditions of which do not exist, and have not existed since.

Buying a home is not just about building family wealth. Owning your own home comes with other benefits. Owners Enjoy More Privacy and Security, for example.

Will interest rates come down?

There is no indication that they will come down any time soon. Even if you do suspect that rates will be reduced in the future, you should weigh the cost of waiting. Of course, you may be able to refinance at a lower rate in the future, while taking advantage of current home prices now.

Either way, your rent payment will become at least a partial investment into a physical asset you own. The principal portion of a mortgage payment directly reduces the amount you owe on your home. When you pay rent, the only equity you are building is your landlord’s.

Not to mention, rent also rises.

10 Year Rent Inflation Chart

The chart above is not plotting rent prices. The chart is plotting rent price inflation. See the dip caused by the COVID-19 pandemic starting early 2020? This isn’t really a dip; it’s just a reduction in the annual inflation rate of rent prices. Inflation never reversed within the last decade.

How do you escape the squeeze?

It would do no good to lie to you and tell you that there is an easy way out of the rising cost of housing. We have published a short list on How to Get Ahead When You Can’t Get the House You Want, but the wisest words I’ve ever read on housing were these: “Welcome to California. Buy a house immediately.” This is less about California, and more about how to live with rising housing prices. This was advice given to someone who moved there for a job in the tech industry. The advice holds true now: the sooner you buy, the better your chances of being able to buy.

Related: Top 5 Myths About Home Buying in 2020

If you think you might want to become a homeowner, I encourage you to contact us. Even if you think you cannot afford a home yet, or if you don’t know what you need to do to get started, we specialize in helping people just like you achieve the American dream of homeownership. Benchmark has been helping people get into their own home since 1999, and we’ve learned a few things along the way.

Contact your local Benchmark branch. Contact us today for personalized information. Call me yourself or request a call from me. WeI would be honored to provide you with our famous excellent service for your new loan.

 

Benchmark brings you home.

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